It’s the oscars tonight, and I’m bored so here’s some Oscar chat:
La La Land (will win, sigh)
Moonlight should win but if not then Manchester by the Sea
Directing could go anywhere, but probably Chazelle, again would rather Lonegran or Jenkins
Actor in a Leading Role
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea, should have this sewn up, Washington is the only real threat
Actress in a Leading Role, probably Emma Stone which would be the most deserved of all of La La Land’s inevitable plastic wins, although Huppert (!) Portman and Negga (in that order) are all better
Actress in a Supporting Role seems to be going to Viola Davis, but as I haven’t seen Fences I’d go Harris or Williams
Actor in a Supporting Role, probably Moonlight’s surest category which would be richly deserved for Mahershala Ali
Should also hopefully be Moonlight, but could see Arrival giving it a run.
Original Screenplay think MbtS beats La La Land here (deservedly) although a shout should also go to The Lobster here.
Oh and Arrival and moonlight to split technical things, and it would be rad if Toni Erdmann wins best foreign (which it might will due to re-make) and O.J for documentary