Had £10 free bet on 7/1 Ipswich,Midd and Wolves
Heh. 94th minute KILLER

I also find it hard to articulate, but isn’t it basically : does xG, which is worked out by 4 opta interns inputting all sorts of tedious data into a spreadsheet over 90 mins tell me *anything * more than one simple line from a journo saying eg ‘city were unlucky Imo’? I don’t think so

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He’s Bouncing Back!

One of those data dickheads on twitter got mad at Alan Shearer for saying that someone “should’ve scored that” about a close-range header. He was like “well actually there’s only a 0.4 probability of someone scoring a header from that position so most chances of that type aren’t scored”. This apparently proves that Shearer was wrong to say he should’ve scored.

Obvious response to that is that the other 60% of players should’ve scored the headers they missed and they probably fucked it up.

Hate data dickheads.

BTW I just watched 2 of Europe’s most celebrated teams ever and can safely say that this particular juventus vs Barcelona match would be 0xg-0xg until the end of time

Literally offers nothing. Terrible footballer. So glad Valencia tends to stay fit for proper games.

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Not sure I agree with this. One of my major irks is during the ‘analysis’ on MOTD any missed chance is described as one that he ‘had to score’. There’d be 10 goals every game if they all went in, at least the data guys are realistic (also really enjoyed the data lad schooling Glendenning on footers weekly a month or so back)

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Didn’t Paulinho hit the expected post?

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Yeah they definitely overuse it. I’m not so much backing up Big Alan as laying into said dickhead.

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Cancel the rest of this year’s Champions League and just have a PSG v City NBA-style 7-game series for a Final.

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In all seriousness, we should start preparing ourselves now for some absolute shitshow of a side Greecing it this year.

That was fun

Basel have exposed them now

dunno i think most people are subject to biases when watching (their own) teams play and stuff like xG are good for eliminating that, agree that it’s more useful when applied over a whole season though and is generally far less revelatory than people are making out

yeah i mean it depends how smart and dispassionate you are for sure

I’d be well into this (of course)

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The ban for Niasse diving is rubbish.

Look forward to yer man Aguero not getting banned for diving week in week out.

That, and “they scored 2 in the first half, but it could have been 5 or 6”. Yeah, if we lived in a world where every chance ended in a goal.

Which is the world where PSG live, by the way.

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