The thing that’s going to maybe impact my profession quite severely is almost hilariously inevitable because there’s no way that anyone on our side of the negotiating table will understand the consequences.
(warning: extremely dry patent stuff ahead)
Patent law varies by jurisdiction but it’s almost not an exaggeration to say that you can split it into US-style and the rest of the world. One “feature” of US patent law that they bloody love and nobody else does is a 12 month “grace period” for filing a patent after you’ve disclosed the invention. Everywhere else operates on a strict “first to file” basis where you need to file your patent before you disclose it or you cannot patent it.
I know the US position sounds reasonable but you’ll have to trust me that it results in an absolute fucking nightmare for legal certainty for third parties and the only reason they want it is because their university lobby pushes hard for it because academics are reckless idiots and keep torpedoing their own patent filings by disclosing stuff at conferences before they’ve filed their patent.
Anyway.
It’s now the US default trade negotiating position that intellectual property provisions are front and centre in their strategy. We saw this with China. That includes: if you want this deal, your country has to change your patent law to include a 12 month grace period.
I think our lot will roll over on this. Why is it a problem? Because it’s fundamentally incompatible with the European Patent Convention. The UK is currently one of 38 members of this - it isn’t an EU institution. It’s widely recognised as arguably the best patent system in the world. UK patent attorneys are massive participants in it and the profession in this country is extremely well regarded as being good at operating in this system and is used extensively by e.g. US, Japanese and Chinese tech firms who want to use this brilliant Europe-wide system.
If we accept the US negotiating position on this, the UK will be kicked out of it, and people like me will (as it stands) lose their right to be a professional representative in this system and the profession will more or less collapse.
Nobody read this.