He doesn’t say that they could. He says that it could be enough for Fujimori to whip up stories of voting irregularities and legitimacy.
That has already happened.
Whatever the outcome of this election, the winner will have a margin of less than one percent, so the loser claiming voter fraud is inevitable. To illustrate, more than 5% of the votes cast on Sunday have been rejected as invalid. If there is a smoking gun, that’s the place to look, not the overseas votes.
Latest, after 97.4% of the votes have been counted:
PEDRO CASTILLO: 50.220%
KEIKO FUJIMORI: 49.780%
It is estimated that there 150,000 domestic votes and 136,000 overseas votes are left to be counted. Current projections predict that Castillo will win by 30,000 votes
They were late counting votes in Milwaukee…
Pretty funny to see cops running around with PsIG written on their backs.
Ha yeah that was a weird double take
The counting is almost complete.
Latest, after 99.4% of the votes have been counted:
PEDRO CASTILLO: 50.241%
KEIKO FUJIMORI: 49.759%
The gap between the two candidates is 83,667 votes. There are about 40,000 domestic votes and 32,000 overseas votes left to count. Castillo declared victory in a speech late last night, but Fujimori has not conceded yet.
However, this is not the end of the electoral process. Peru has approx. 86,500 polling stations. For the vast majority the ballot returns have been fine, but a small number have been referred to the JNE, the autonomous organisation that oversees the presidential election. The most common reasons for review are contested votes, material errors on the return form, referral by an independent observer and incomplete forms.
In total there are currently 1,288 returns under review (50 reviews have already been completed). This amounts to 275,000 votes that may have to be restated. Reportedly, about half of the returns under review are from the Lima area, which voted heavily in favour of Fujimori. It may take up to another week before all reviews are completed and the election results can be certified.
Guess they only needed to print 29 (English language) t-shirts for this massive protest.
Ukraine are joining nato. Cannot see that passing without incident
What happens next?
Now that counting of the votes has been completed and Castillo has beaten Fujimori by 44,058 votes, the JNE has to certify the results. This independent panel will consider any challenges to the official results before announcing its final decision. At the previous presidential election in 2016 they certified the results on 23 June, and in 2011 this happened on 28 June. The deadline is 28 July, when the inauguration is due to take place.
Fujimori supporters have been protesting outside electoral offices for days and some of these protests have turned violent.
A member of Congress and Fujimori backer, retired general Jorge Montoya, has called for new elections. His request was backed by a number of other former military brass. This prompted the Ministry of Defence to release a statement that these people do not represent the Armed Forces and that everyone should respect the outcome of the election.
Both Peruvian cardinal Pedro Barreto and UN human rights chief Michelle Bachelet have expressed concern over the rising tension in Peru and urged all parties to “remain calm.”
Late last night Castillo declared himself president-elect and updated his Twitter bio accordingly.
While Fujimori acknowledged that the vote count had gone against her, she has not conceded yet and yesterday repeated her allegations of fraud, with little proof. She continued to stoke the unrest in the country: “We trust the authorities yes, but we trust more in the popular will”
She’s more or less been shining the CIA bat signal into the sky all week. Sick, sick puppy.
Some fun potential collapse of the Swedish government coalition over rent controls…
Ukraine’s logic for NATO membership is that it gave up the world’s third biggest nuclear arsenal in the '90s as part of the Budapest Memorandum in order to guarantee its post-independence borders, and it turned it out that it wasn’t worth the paper it was written on. Zelenskiy’s jumped the gun on this though, as per previous Ukrainian presidents, and any perceived support is going to come with conditions that any genuine statesman will run rings around him with.
A more pertinent development in terms of Ukrainian politics is the trial of Viktor Medvedchuk. Walks some very legally sensitive ground in terms of legal procedure, particularly in Ukraine where the court system is constantly open to abuse of power and political interference. Personally, wouldn’t mind him being held bang to rights.