#7144

Nice knowing you all

13 Likes
#7145

Ah bollocks. The pollercoaster continues.

1 Like
#7146

Suo Jinssen agreeing to be interviewed by Neil next week is arguably better for Labour than Boris being interviewed, if you had to pick one or the other. The Lib vote is a bit softer than the Tory vote at this point, I reckon, so if she has a mare then the poll gains might be a bit higher for Labour.

#7147

I feel sick

1 Like
#7148
13 Likes
#7149

Bugger

#7150
2 Likes
#7151

Find it incredibly hard to believe the parliament won’t be hung even if the scum scrape in

9 Likes
#7153

bad, please ignore

2 Likes
#7156

The poll is based on their latest percentage results too. Tories - 43%, Labour 32%. The polls show the gap is narrowing, and just because this poll was close last time, it doesn’t guarantee it will be this time.

Another week of the gap closing would see a lot of seats change hands, and a couple of weeks could yet change everything. The most important thing is that we’re moving in the right direction and people shouldn’t be disheartened.

#7157

i have been assuming everyone’s optimism is coming from a place of self-preservation rather than genuinely thinking we’re not in for 5 years of absolute hell

3 Likes
#7158

Yeah, that Times article accompanying the poll says that at least 30 of the notional Tory seats would have margins of victory of below 5%. If those 30 seats switched you’d be looking at a single figure majority. Still lots to play for. The Lib Dem vote really needs to be squeezed - if people see that they’re unlikely to capture many more seats, as this poll shows, then it might dissuade them from giving them their vote.

3 Likes
#7159

YouGov is also one of the pollsters that currently tends towards a larger Tory lead, it’s unlikely to pick up abnormal voting patterns (Totnes and Beaconsfield spring to mind) and the very act of publishing this data is liable to affect the election result.

If anything, given YouGov’s polling is giving larger than average leads and the fact they’ve probably near maxed out their vote while Labour haven’t, I’d be more concerned if I were a Tory.

2 Likes
#7160

a fan of this

https://peoplesmomentum.com/striketowin

After that, build or reinforce a long-term connection to your local trade union movement and organise in your own workplace and community.

all this should be underlined and highlighted and italicised and maybe done in word art

3 Likes
#7161

A comfortable Conservative majority, hahaha, funny joke. What a wheeze. I just don’t know where they think these things up.

#7162

Chris Mullin was in one of Blair’s cabinets. His diaries are pretty good with a tone of detachment, unless he’s railing against Murdoch. I wouldn’t say he’s anti-Corbyn by the standards of others of his generation.

1 Like
#7163

That big fancy poll thing isn’t very pleasant reading, but just because it was right last time doesn’t mean it will be right this time. I reckon it has the big trend right, ie Labour leave seats swinging towards the Tories, but quite how many change hands is still to be decided. They predict no Labour gains as well, I expect that to be wrong.

3 Likes
#7164

Found out today that my dad is in a possible swing seat (currently Tory, but it’s very close) and he’s going to vote Labour. He’s from a very Tory family and has often voted that way in the past, so this is a good thing.

5 Likes
#7165

Something to consider

6 Likes
#7166
4 Likes