#1551

1 lakh crore, if you’re going down your local FX dealer

#1552

If MPs haven’t approved a deal in a meaningful vote, or approved leaving the EU without a deal by 19 October (= this Saturday), then the Prime Minister must send a letter (specifically worded in the Act) to the president of the European Council which seeks an extension to Article 50 until 31 January 2020.

The Tories don’t have a majority in the Commons.

The government lost by 58 votes.

As noted previously, Labour MPs have been very disciplined when it comes to voting on the withdrawal agreement:

  • first time: 2 Labour MPs voted for
  • second time: 3 Labour MPs voted for
  • third time: 5 Labour MPs voted for

The notion that suddenly another 10 to 15 Labour MPs would defy the whip is unrealistic.

2 Likes
#1553

10 euros to the charity of your choosing if I’m wrong, Hoogster.

#1554

And a “You’ve been Hooged” badge.

6 Likes
#1556

I think it’ll come down to what’s on the ballot.

  1. First-past-the-post. I think Remain has the better chance. In short the primary reason for this thinking is that in the 3.5 years since the vote, more young voters have come through and a proportion of older voters have died off. I’ve been trying to analyse the statistics involved, but there’s obviously a lot of variables to consider.

  2. Proportional ballot, i.e ranking the options of remain, leave without a deal, leave with a deal. Leave with a deal will probably smash it. It’ll be the majority’s second choice.

#1558

To clarify the bet: on a deal going through by Saturday 19 October?

November Politics Thread: Countdown To The Lizard Cull
#1559

what sucks about having a fact checker now is i’ve had to stop accusing people of being peds, thus my content in the politics threads has reduced by like 70%, tho many would argue the threads have therefore improved by 70%

#1560

alright Elon

8 Likes
#1561

Hmm, tricky. I’d prefer some caveat to allow for a short extension for practicalities but then we’re into haggling over what “short” means so YER ON

#1562

Someone wants to keep his badge exclusive I see :wink:

#1563

WE’RE ON!

4 Likes
#1565

Imagine the responses of both Farage and the FBPErs to a slim Remain victory on a reduced turnout. The horror, the horror.

1 Like
#1567

You’re not wrong. I like awarding badges though, so shut it. :wink:

#1568

Get to the minisub!

2 Likes
#1570

Oh man, I’ve just remembered the fantastic Elon Musk subthread with the songs. Great times

9 Likes
#1571

Genuine q too

Does ‘by saturday’ mean before 00:00 on Saturday 19th, or 00:00 on Sunday 20th? its ambiguous

#1573

I still sing “YOU’RE A PAEDO!” to Lightsaber Cocksucking Blues

3 Likes
#1574

53% remain
47% leave with a deal

59% remain
41% no deal

#1575

Jimmy Huntspill says we’ll be okay so it’ll probably be okay

11 Likes
#1576

The Act states “no later than 19 October 2019” ie. the deadline is before 00:00 hrs on Sunday 20 November.

1 Like